Can You Predict A Baby’s Gender With The Ramzi Theory?
March 3, 2014
I had the privilege of chatting with the man behind the Ramzi Theory, Dr. Saad Ramzi Ismail himself. Please see the update in a more recent article, “Dr. Saad Ramzi Ismail Responds to My Article on the ‘Ramzi Theory’“.
When I was pregnant with Clark, I didn’t discover the “mommy boards” until I was a few months pregnant. By that time, all of the posts with ultrasounds and gender had sort of died down. People were finding out if their baby was a boy or girl with official ultrasounds; there was no longer a need to speculate. This time around, I have joined pretty early, and the amount of “Ramzi Theory” posts are startling. I began to wonder why I hadn’t heard about this during my first pregnancy. To be fair, two doctors confirmed that Clark was, indeed, a boy at 12 weeks, so maybe that’s why I wasn’t super anxious. But then again, if the Ramzi Theory was a real phenomenon, wouldn’t my OB/GYN have told me about it?
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but it turns out the Ramzi Theory isn’t really a theory at all; I would even assert it’s a hoax. The story goes that Dr. Ramzi Ismail came up with the hypothesis that gender could be predicted “with 97%+ accuracy” from the first ultrasound based on the location of the placenta (Source: Ramzi’s Method to Determine Fetal Gender). From the start, there are several red flags for the Ramzi Theory or Ramzi Method. First, the doctor’s last name is Ismail, not Ramzi. If a real, scientific theory was discovered by this “doctor”, the theory would be called the Ismail Theory – not Ramzi. Some of you will argue that’s just “lexical order”, but it’s the first clue that the “theory” you’re using is not, in fact, a real scientifically tested theory at all.
Next, the original study is published on “obgyn.net” only; no official medical journals have published the study. For those of you who don’t know what obgyn.net is, allow me to explain: obgyn.net is something of a social network for OB/GYNs. Anyone can submit an article to be published; studies do not need to be peer reviewed. This is incredibly important, because a peer review, in academia, is a stamp of approval. Also, for Ramzi’s Theory to be sound, it would need to be replicated; if the study cannot be replicated, it’s not scientifically sound. Furthermore, obgyn.ne is owned by UBM plc, a multinational media company – not a board certified association of medical doctors.
If you’re still don’t understand my skepticism, here’s another piece of information to think about: even if the Ramzi Theory/Method is true and scientific, the study was conducted using “2D sonography with color flow or angio power color flow Doppler to mark the laterality of the chorionic villi color flow that represents the blood flow in this region (future placenta).” Chances are, your in-office ultrasound did not use this technology. Thus, using the Ramzi Theory (or Ramzi Method) to attempt gender prediction is impossible – even if the study was 100% accurate.
So, now that you understand, let’s inspect “Dr. Saad Ramzi Ismail”; is he a real doctor? Is he even a real person? Well, there is a Dr. Saad Ramzi Ismail who did publish a study on sonograms in the Journal of Diagnostic Medical Sonography, however, it has nothing to do with gender prediction. The contact information listed for this Dr. Ismail is a hotmail account and a P.O. Box address – not a university, hospital, or practice.
I’ve also found a LinkedIn account for Dr. Saad Ramzi Ismail Al Kubaisi, but even this is shady. Here’s a screenshot of this alleged authority’s LinkedIn history:
Seems like a total winner. I would trust this “ultrasouind superviosr” to predict my baby’s gender. For sure.
For a theory that seems so painfully, obviously false, you might wonder why I’m bothering to write about this at all. Well, here’s why: when I Googled the Ramzi theory looking for answers, I discovered a multitude of crazies using this theory on message boards as if it were real. There are women on What To Expect When You’re Expecting message boards propelling this myth. The moms of Momtastic are also hooked on the “theory”. We have others on MumsNet.com, The Bump, BabyCenter – you name a mommy board, and the Ramzi Theory has infiltrated every single birth club.
It’s sad, really, that women are so desperate and bored that they resort to using fake theories to pass the time. The Ramzi Theory is nothing but a modern old wive’s tale, and some may wonder if there’s any harm in sharing an interesting game. Here’s the problem: this Ramzi Theory is being shared with statistics. Over 97% accuracy – “it’s been studied”! When, truthfully, it’s all a big lie. There’s no Ramzi Theory. There’s no Dr. Ramzi. It’s all just a giant hoax. And, let’s be real: it was started by a major media company to get links. Everyone links to obgyn.net. Obgyn.net gets revenue; they don’t care if it’s real or fake.
For the record, I emailed Saad Ramzi Ismail, MSC, BSC, ARDMS, RTR, CARDUP at his given email: firstname.lastname@example.org. No response. Also, who’s Steve Ramsey?
Apparently, he’s a doctor with two names, a hotmail account, and a strong dislike for South China.
You’re welcome, Internet.